|
After a stellar week in our member section last week hitting on three unit Wisconsin and all three two unit wagers, and finishing with a weekend record of 9-2-0 we're back again with our breakdown of this week's games. (And even if you didn't have a membership last week, you still got the free winners posted in this spot with a 3-1 record giving you a two unit win on Florida, and two one unit victories to one loss.)
If you visit the member section this week, you'll see a lot of interest with us finding an amazing 16 games we like on the board (as compared to our usual 10-12). But for our free picks we have just a handful to whet your appetite. Two Units Hawaii +2.5 over Idaho Penn St -7 over N'Western One Unit Georgia -15 over Miss St Florida -22 over Kentucky SDSU -14 over SJSU K-State -24.5 over N Texas Penn St at N'Western PSU - 7 By the Numbers: | Team | PY | RY | Total Score | | PSU | 259 | 172 | 27 | | N'Western | 220 | 135 | 17 |
Comments: This line has opened at 6 and has jumped all the way to 8 at some locations. As of this writing it is still at 7 at MGM-Mirage and 7.5 at Stations. We like PSU to contain Basanez and Company and to exploit a very weak NW defense (773 yards against ASU) for the win. As the numbers only call for a 10 unit win we'll temper this down to a two unit. Georgia at Miss St Georgia -15 By the Numbers: | Team | PY | RY | Total Score | | Georgia | 218 | 210 | 31 | | MSU | 131 | 127 | 13 |
Comments: In a battle of "Bulldogs" we lean with UGA. Our numbers give the Dogs an 18 point victory with a 15 point line. That will be enough for a one unit wager against a team that started out incredibly slow last week. Florida at Kentucky UF -22 By the Numbers: | Team | PY | RY | Total Score | | Florida | 259 | 234 | 37 | | Kentucky | 154 | 84 | 11 |
Comments: UK is still banged up and lost 4 starters just 2 weeks ago. The numbers give the Gators a 26 point victory against a 22 point line and we think Meyer will use this opportunity to work all the kinks out of his offense. The Gators are good for one. SJSU at SDSU SDSU -14 By the Numbers: | Team | PY | RY | Total Score | | SJSU | 248 | 198 | 51 | | SDSU | 143 | 121 | 14 |
Comments: After facing Top 25 UCLA and Ohio St the game against SJSU is a big step down for SD State. Our numbers give the Aztecs a 17 point victory against a 14 point line. We like SDSU for a unit. Hawaii at Idaho Idaho -2.5 By the Numbers: | Team | PY | RY | Total Score | | Hawaii | 236 | 129 | 36 | | Idaho | 260 | 118 | 33 |
Comments: In a game that we give a three point edge to Hawaii in Idaho opened at -3 and has lost a half since. We like Hawaii with the outright win and make them our second two unit of the week. Both teams are winless, but Hawaii comes off Michigan State and USC while Idaho struggled with UNLV, Washington St, and Washington. N Texas at K State K-State -24.5 By the Numbers: | Team | PY | RY | Total Score | | N Texas | 216 | 164 | 40 | | K State | 168 | 134 | 19 |
Comments: UNT got smashed last week against Tulsa and KState had a week off to think about the rough trip to Marshall. The line has opened at 23 and jumped up to 24.5. KState should win by 31 according to our numbers, so we'll make this a one unit play. |